If the United States is going to shift focus to Asia it’s going to have to do it without Europe.

Source: www.foreignpolicy.com

"[To put it bluntly: if the United States does in fact ‘rebalance’ toward Asia, will Europe rebalance with it?

The answer is no. If ‘rebalancing’ means NATO acting together to counter a rising China, that just ain’t gonna happen. If the United States pivots to Asia in order to prevent Chinese hegemony there (as I believe it will), Europe is not going to play a significant role in that effort and its strategic importance will continue to decline. To the extent that NATO Europe does contribute, it will be by taking responsibility for security in its own region, so that the United States can focus its energies and attention elsewhere.

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Whether they do or not, the main implication of the above analysis is that the much-heralded ‘transatlantic partnership’ is increasingly a dinosaur. Europe and America share some important political values, they have closely integrated economies, and no reason to be rivals. But assuming China continues to rise — which is by no means a sure thing, by the way — Europe and America will have less and less reason to be allies either. NATO might survive as a residual insurance policy against an uncertain future, but it just won’t contribute much to major international security issues."